Congress and the new Obama Administration are working to quickly enact a massive economic stimulus package to jump start the U.S. economy. Democrats in the House and Senate have unveiled an $816 billion stimulus package including roughly $275 billion in tax incentives. The fact that Democrats control both the House and the Senate should speed delivery of a final stimulus bill to the White House before the end of February.
Economic recovery
Coming into office, President Obama pledged to make an economic recovery his number one priority. The federal government will spend billions of dollars on infrastructure projects, in aid to state and local governments and in job creation programs, especially in alternative energy.
Second in size to the spending component of the stimulus bill is the tax cut package. Although Congress is still debating the number and scope of tax incentives, lawmakers are likely to settle on a mix of individual and business tax breaks.
Individual tax incentive
Individuals will likely benefit from a temporary payroll tax cut along with enhancements of existing tax breaks. Democrats have proposed a new Making Work Pay tax credit, which would reduce payroll withholding for lower and middle income wage earners. The credit would reach $500 for eligible single taxpayers and $1,000 for married couples. Democrats would also create a new partially refundable $2,500 tax credit for each year of post-secondary education, lower the floor for the child tax credit and enhance the earned income tax credit.
Similarly, Republicans in Congress have also proposed some individual tax cuts. Their proposals include repealing the alternative minimum tax (AMT) and increasing the child tax credit to $1,000.
Marginal tax rates
Seven years ago, Congress lowered the individual marginal tax rates and created the new 10 percent rate. The highest rate, at 39.6 percent gradually fell to 35 percent, where it is at today. The lower rates, however, are temporary and will expire after 2010.
Obama has promised to renew the lower rates for all but high income individuals. The top two old rates (39.6 and 36 percent) would return after 2010 if not sooner.
At this time, it is unclear if the economic stimulus bill will restore the top two old rates. Some senior Democrats in the House want the bill to immediately raise the top individual marginal tax rate to 39.6 percent. However, Republican opposition could postpone the increase until after 2010.
Business tax breaks
Unlike past tax cuts, this one is not expected to be heavy on business tax incentives. Congress will likely extend bonus depreciation and increased Code Sec. 179 expensing as well as provide for a five-year, rather than two-year, carryback of net operating losses. The latter provision would generate refunds for cash-strapped businesses.
Before taking office, Obama proposed a tax break for employers that create or retain jobs in the U.S. Obama appears to have backed away from this proposal after many lawmakers said it would be very difficult for the IRS to determine which employers would qualify for the tax credit.
Republicans are expected to push for a reduction in the corporate tax rate. During the campaign, President Obama supported lowering the top corporate tax rate in exchange for closing unspecified corporate tax "loopholes."
Capital gains
Congress lowered taxes on capital gains and dividends in 2003 and renewed those cuts in 2006. The top rate on capital gains and dividends is 15 percent. A zero percent rate is available for individuals in the 10 and 15 percent income tax brackets. These lower rates are temporary and will expire after 2010. Although many Democrats in Congress are not keen on the lower capital gains and dividends tax rates, they are unlikely to push for an accelerated sunset date.
Energy
Consumers and businesses can look forward to enhanced and extended energy tax breaks. Congress is expected to significantly expand the current tax incentives that encourage the development and production of alternative energy, such as solar, biomass and wind energy. These tax breaks are connected to Obama's plan to create new "green collar" jobs in alternative energy.
Retirement savings
Many individuals have seen the value of their retirement savings plummet in recent months. There is little Congress can do, if anything, to restore value to these accounts. However, it has already suspended required minimum distributions from IRAs, 401(k)s and similar arrangements for 2009 and could extend that treatment to 2010. Some lawmakers have also proposed relaxing the rules for early distributions from IRAs and similar plans so cash-strapped individuals can access these funds for non-retirement purposes.
If you have any questions about these or any economic stimulus proposals, please contact our office. We'll keep you posted of developments.
